Israel Discount Pink Sheet Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| ISDAYDelisted Stock | USD 102.10 0.00 0.00% |
Israel Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The relative strength index (RSI) of Israel Discount's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 91
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Israel Discount hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Israel Discount Bank from the perspective of Israel Discount response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Israel Discount Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 101.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.05. Israel Discount after-hype prediction price | USD 102.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Israel |
Israel Discount Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Israel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Israel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Israel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Israel Discount Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Israel Discount Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 101.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.41, mean absolute percentage error of 4.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Israel Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Israel Discount's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Israel Discount Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Israel Discount | Israel Discount Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Israel Discount pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Israel Discount pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5685 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4106 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0157 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 86.0496 |
Predictive Modules for Israel Discount
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Israel Discount Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Israel Discount After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Israel Discount at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Israel Discount or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Israel Discount, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Israel Discount Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Israel Discount's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Israel Discount's historical news coverage. Israel Discount's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 102.10 and 102.10, respectively. We have considered Israel Discount's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Israel Discount is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Israel Discount Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Israel Discount Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Israel Discount is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Israel Discount backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Israel Discount, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
102.10 | 102.10 | 0.00 |
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Israel Discount Hype Timeline
Israel Discount Bank is currently traded for 102.10. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Israel is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Israel Discount is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 102.10. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Israel Discount Bank recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.34. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.Israel Discount Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Israel Discount's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Israel Discount's future price movements. Getting to know how Israel Discount's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Israel Discount may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KGTFF | Krung Thai Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BPCGF | Banco Comercial Portugus | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.35 | |
| KGTFY | Krung Thai Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1.13 | 0.00 | 13.74 | |
| KPCPY | Kasikornbank Public Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.02 | 0.08 | 3.71 | (3.07) | 11.07 | |
| TKGBY | Turkiye Garanti Bankasi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.25 | 0.08 | 6.58 | (4.89) | 17.06 | |
| RAIFY | Raiffeisen Bank International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.43 | 0.20 | 5.32 | (4.08) | 12.57 | |
| KPCUF | Kasikornbank PCL DRC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PBNNF | PT Bank Negara | 0.00 | 0 per month | 22.93 | 0.16 | 92.86 | (48.78) | 186.32 | |
| EGFEF | Eurobank Ergasias Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 3.02 | 0.00 | 43.33 | |
| BDOUF | BDO Unibank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.43 | 18.04 | (10.74) | 28.78 |
Israel Discount Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Israel Discount pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Israel Discount could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Israel Discount by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Israel Discount Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Israel Discount pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Israel Discount shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Israel Discount pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Israel Discount Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Israel Discount Risk Indicators
The analysis of Israel Discount's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Israel Discount's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting israel pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9367 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Variance | 5.1 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Israel Discount
The number of cover stories for Israel Discount depends on current market conditions and Israel Discount's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Israel Discount is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Israel Discount's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Israel Discount Short Properties
Israel Discount's future price predictability will typically decrease when Israel Discount's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Israel Discount Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Israel Discount's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Israel Discount's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 116.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 144 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.51 | |
| Shares Float | 123.7 M |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Other Consideration for investing in Israel Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Israel Discount Bank check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Israel Discount's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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