Israel Discount Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ISDAYDelisted Stock  USD 102.10  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Israel Discount Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 102.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.92. Israel Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Israel Discount's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Israel Discount's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Israel Discount Bank, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Israel Discount hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Israel Discount Bank from the perspective of Israel Discount response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Israel Discount Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 102.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.92.

Israel Discount after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 102.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Israel Discount Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Israel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Israel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Israel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Israel Discount simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Israel Discount Bank are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Israel Discount Bank prices get older.

Israel Discount Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Israel Discount Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 102.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 4.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Israel Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Israel Discount's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Israel Discount Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Israel DiscountIsrael Discount Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Israel Discount pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Israel Discount pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.6955
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4247
MADMean absolute deviation0.5153
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0055
SAESum of the absolute errors30.92
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Israel Discount Bank forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Israel Discount observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Israel Discount

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Israel Discount Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.10102.10102.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.5381.53112.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Israel Discount. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Israel Discount's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Israel Discount's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Israel Discount Bank.

Israel Discount Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Israel Discount pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Israel Discount could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Israel Discount by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Israel Discount Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Israel Discount pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Israel Discount shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Israel Discount pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Israel Discount Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Israel Discount Risk Indicators

The analysis of Israel Discount's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Israel Discount's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting israel pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Other Consideration for investing in Israel Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Israel Discount Bank check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Israel Discount's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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