Intevac Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

IVACDelisted Stock  USD 4.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Intevac on the next trading day is expected to be 4.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.72. Intevac Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Intevac stock prices and determine the direction of Intevac's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Intevac's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Intevac's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Intevac's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intevac, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Intevac hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intevac from the perspective of Intevac response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Intevac on the next trading day is expected to be 4.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.72.

Intevac after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Intevac Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Intevac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intevac using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intevac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Intevac price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Intevac Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 18th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Intevac on the next trading day is expected to be 4.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intevac Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intevac's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Intevac Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest IntevacIntevac Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intevac stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intevac stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.3528
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1266
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.035
SAESum of the absolute errors7.7229
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Intevac historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Intevac

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intevac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.004.004.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.243.244.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intevac. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intevac's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intevac's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Intevac.

Intevac Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intevac stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intevac could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intevac by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Intevac Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intevac stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intevac shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intevac stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intevac entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

Other Consideration for investing in Intevac Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Intevac check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Intevac's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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