Index Oil Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

IXOG Stock  USD 0.0007  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Index Oil and on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0007 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Index Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Index Oil's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Index Oil's current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.81, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.14. . The Index Oil's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (8 M).

Index Oil Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Index Oil's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
302.2 K
Current Value
287.1 K
Quarterly Volatility
1.3 M
 
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Covid
A naive forecasting model for Index Oil is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Index Oil and value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Index Oil Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Index Oil and on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0007 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Index Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Index Oil's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Index Oil Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Index OilIndex Oil Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Index Oil Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Index Oil's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Index Oil's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0007 and 0.0007, respectively. We have considered Index Oil's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0007
0.0007
Downside
0.0007
Expected Value
0.0007
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Index Oil stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Index Oil stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria34.7032
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Index Oil and. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Index Oil. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Index Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Index Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00070.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00060.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Index Oil

For every potential investor in Index, whether a beginner or expert, Index Oil's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Index Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Index. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Index Oil's price trends.

Index Oil Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Index Oil stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Index Oil could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Index Oil by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Index Oil Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Index Oil's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Index Oil's current price.

Index Oil Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Index Oil stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Index Oil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Index Oil stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Index Oil and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Index Oil is a strong investment it is important to analyze Index Oil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Index Oil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Index Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Index Oil to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Index Oil. If investors know Index will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Index Oil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.02)
Revenue Per Share
0.04
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.67)
Return On Assets
(0.13)
Return On Equity
(0.90)
The market value of Index Oil is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Index that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Index Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Index Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Index Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Index Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Index Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Index Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Index Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.