Jaeren Sparebank Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

JAREN Stock  NOK 315.00  1.00  0.32%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Jaeren Sparebank on the next trading day is expected to be 317.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 181.04. Jaeren Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Jaeren Sparebank price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Jaeren Sparebank Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Jaeren Sparebank on the next trading day is expected to be 317.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.97, mean absolute percentage error of 13.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 181.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jaeren Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jaeren Sparebank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jaeren Sparebank Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jaeren SparebankJaeren Sparebank Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Jaeren Sparebank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jaeren Sparebank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jaeren Sparebank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 316.50 and 318.98, respectively. We have considered Jaeren Sparebank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
315.00
316.50
Downside
317.74
Expected Value
318.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jaeren Sparebank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jaeren Sparebank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7266
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.9679
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0095
SAESum of the absolute errors181.0415
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Jaeren Sparebank historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Jaeren Sparebank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jaeren Sparebank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
313.76315.00316.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
286.27287.51346.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
314.39315.33316.28
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jaeren Sparebank

For every potential investor in Jaeren, whether a beginner or expert, Jaeren Sparebank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jaeren Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jaeren. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jaeren Sparebank's price trends.

Jaeren Sparebank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jaeren Sparebank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jaeren Sparebank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jaeren Sparebank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jaeren Sparebank Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jaeren Sparebank's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jaeren Sparebank's current price.

Jaeren Sparebank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jaeren Sparebank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jaeren Sparebank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jaeren Sparebank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jaeren Sparebank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jaeren Sparebank Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jaeren Sparebank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jaeren Sparebank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jaeren stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Jaeren Stock

Jaeren Sparebank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jaeren Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jaeren with respect to the benefits of owning Jaeren Sparebank security.