JBS SA OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

JBSAYDelisted Stock  USD 15.65  0.28  1.82%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JBS SA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.22. JBS OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of JBS SA's otc stock price is slightly above 69. This indicates that the otc stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling JBS, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 69

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
JBS SA stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of JBS SA shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of JBS SA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of JBS SA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from JBS SA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with JBS SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of JBS SA based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using JBS SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JBS SA from the perspective of JBS SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JBS SA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.22.

JBS SA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

JBS SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine JBS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JBS using various technical indicators. When you analyze JBS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for JBS SA is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of JBS SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

JBS SA Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of JBS SA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JBS OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JBS SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

JBS SA OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest JBS SAJBS SA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JBS SA otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JBS SA otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.7335
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2331
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0167
SAESum of the absolute errors14.2208
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of JBS SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict JBS SA. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for JBS SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JBS SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.6515.6515.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7412.7417.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.2915.5615.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JBS SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JBS SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JBS SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in JBS SA.

JBS SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JBS SA otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JBS SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JBS SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

JBS SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JBS SA otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JBS SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JBS SA otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JBS SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

JBS SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of JBS SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JBS SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jbs otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Note that the JBS SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other JBS SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Other Consideration for investing in JBS OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in JBS SA check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the JBS SA's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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