JBS SA OTC Stock Forward View
| JBSAYDelisted Stock | USD 15.65 0.28 1.82% |
JBS OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of JBS SA's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate signals. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of JBS SA based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using JBS SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JBS SA from the perspective of JBS SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JBS SA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.22. JBS SA after-hype prediction price | USD 15.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
JBS |
JBS SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JBS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JBS using various technical indicators. When you analyze JBS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JBS SA Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of JBS SA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JBS OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JBS SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JBS SA OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest JBS SA | JBS SA Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JBS SA otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JBS SA otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7335 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2331 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.2208 |
Predictive Modules for JBS SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JBS SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JBS SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JBS SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JBS SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of JBS SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JBS SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JBS SA's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JBS SA's historical news coverage. JBS SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.65 and 15.65, respectively. We have considered JBS SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JBS SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JBS SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
JBS SA OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as JBS SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JBS SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JBS SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.65 | 15.65 | 0.00 |
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JBS SA Hype Timeline
JBS SA is currently traded for 15.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. JBS is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on JBS SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.65. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.03. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. JBS SA last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.JBS SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JBS SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JBS SA's future price movements. Getting to know how JBS SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JBS SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SDPNF | Sime Darby Plantation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MRRTY | Marfrig Global Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.51 | (0) | 6.63 | (9.04) | 25.85 | |
| IOIOF | IOI Berhad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DLLFF | Dali Foods Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SMPFF | San Miguel Food | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| INDFF | Indofood Agri Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NSFMF | Nisshin Seifun Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MEJHF | Meiji Holdings Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TBLMY | Tiger Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GBFBF | Grupo Bafar SAB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
JBS SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JBS SA otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JBS SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JBS SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JBS SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JBS SA otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JBS SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JBS SA otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JBS SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
JBS SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of JBS SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JBS SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jbs otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for JBS SA
The number of cover stories for JBS SA depends on current market conditions and JBS SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JBS SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JBS SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. Note that the JBS SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other JBS SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Other Consideration for investing in JBS OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in JBS SA check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the JBS SA's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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