Jindal Drilling Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

JINDRILL   742.80  9.35  1.27%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jindal Drilling And on the next trading day is expected to be 741.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 644.60. Jindal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Jindal Drilling's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Jindal Drilling's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Jindal Drilling fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Jindal Drilling's Net Receivables is quite stable compared to the past year. Short Term Investments is expected to rise to about 707.1 M this year, although the value of Short and Long Term Debt Total will most likely fall to about 1.5 B.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Jindal Drilling works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Jindal Drilling Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jindal Drilling And on the next trading day is expected to be 741.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.93, mean absolute percentage error of 263.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 644.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jindal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jindal Drilling's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jindal Drilling Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jindal Drilling Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jindal Drilling's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jindal Drilling's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 739.04 and 743.76, respectively. We have considered Jindal Drilling's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
742.80
739.04
Downside
741.40
Expected Value
743.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jindal Drilling stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jindal Drilling stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.9559
MADMean absolute deviation10.9254
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0164
SAESum of the absolute errors644.6
When Jindal Drilling And prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Jindal Drilling And trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Jindal Drilling observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Jindal Drilling

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jindal Drilling And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
668.52749.94752.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
593.80596.16817.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
730.87739.68748.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jindal Drilling

For every potential investor in Jindal, whether a beginner or expert, Jindal Drilling's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jindal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jindal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jindal Drilling's price trends.

Jindal Drilling Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jindal Drilling stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jindal Drilling could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jindal Drilling by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jindal Drilling And Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jindal Drilling's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jindal Drilling's current price.

Jindal Drilling Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jindal Drilling stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jindal Drilling shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jindal Drilling stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jindal Drilling And entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jindal Drilling Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jindal Drilling's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jindal Drilling's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jindal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Jindal Stock

Jindal Drilling financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jindal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jindal with respect to the benefits of owning Jindal Drilling security.