Journeo PLC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

JNEO Stock   293.00  6.50  2.17%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Journeo PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 291.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 347.31. Journeo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Journeo PLC's Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Non Current Liabilities Total is likely to gain to about 6.5 M in 2024, whereas Property Plant And Equipment Net is likely to drop slightly above 1.2 M in 2024.
A naive forecasting model for Journeo PLC is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Journeo PLC value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Journeo PLC Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Journeo PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 291.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.69, mean absolute percentage error of 56.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 347.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Journeo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Journeo PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Journeo PLC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Journeo PLC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Journeo PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Journeo PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 288.97 and 293.72, respectively. We have considered Journeo PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
293.00
288.97
Downside
291.34
Expected Value
293.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Journeo PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Journeo PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.1405
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.6936
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0202
SAESum of the absolute errors347.3102
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Journeo PLC. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Journeo PLC. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Journeo PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Journeo PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
290.62293.00295.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
283.37285.75322.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
254.71278.83302.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.954.954.95
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Journeo PLC

For every potential investor in Journeo, whether a beginner or expert, Journeo PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Journeo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Journeo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Journeo PLC's price trends.

Journeo PLC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Journeo PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Journeo PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Journeo PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Journeo PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Journeo PLC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Journeo PLC's current price.

Journeo PLC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Journeo PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Journeo PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Journeo PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Journeo PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Journeo PLC Risk Indicators

The analysis of Journeo PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Journeo PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting journeo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Journeo Stock Analysis

When running Journeo PLC's price analysis, check to measure Journeo PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Journeo PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Journeo PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Journeo PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Journeo PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Journeo PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.