JPETNC Etf Forecast - Polynomial Regression

JPETNC Etf   2,955  25.00  0.84%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of JPETNC on the next trading day is expected to be 3,078 with a mean absolute deviation of 61.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,764. JPETNC Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast JPETNC stock prices and determine the direction of JPETNC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of JPETNC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
JPETNC polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for JPETNC as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

JPETNC Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of JPETNC on the next trading day is expected to be 3,078 with a mean absolute deviation of 61.71, mean absolute percentage error of 5,301, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,764.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JPETNC Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JPETNC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

JPETNC Etf Forecast Pattern

JPETNC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting JPETNC's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JPETNC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3,075 and 3,080, respectively. We have considered JPETNC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,955
3,078
Expected Value
3,080
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JPETNC etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JPETNC etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.6862
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation61.7125
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0242
SAESum of the absolute errors3764.4604
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the JPETNC historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for JPETNC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPETNC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,9742,9762,978
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,6692,6713,274
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,8042,8982,992
Details

Other Forecasting Options for JPETNC

For every potential investor in JPETNC, whether a beginner or expert, JPETNC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JPETNC Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JPETNC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JPETNC's price trends.

JPETNC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JPETNC etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JPETNC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JPETNC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

JPETNC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of JPETNC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of JPETNC's current price.

JPETNC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JPETNC etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JPETNC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JPETNC etf market strength indicators, traders can identify JPETNC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

JPETNC Risk Indicators

The analysis of JPETNC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JPETNC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jpetnc etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in JPETNC Etf

JPETNC financial ratios help investors to determine whether JPETNC Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JPETNC with respect to the benefits of owning JPETNC security.