Japan Airlines Pink Sheet Forward View

JPNRFDelisted Stock  USD 21.33  0.00  0.00%   
Japan Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Japan Airlines' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Japan Airlines' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Japan Airlines' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Japan Airlines and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Japan Airlines' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Japan Airlines Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Japan Airlines hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Japan Airlines Co from the perspective of Japan Airlines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Japan Airlines Co on the next trading day is expected to be 23.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.33.

Japan Airlines after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.33  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Japan Airlines Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Japan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Japan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Japan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Japan Airlines is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Japan Airlines Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Japan Airlines Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Japan Airlines Co on the next trading day is expected to be 23.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85, mean absolute percentage error of 1.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Japan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Japan Airlines' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Japan Airlines Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Japan Airlines  Japan Airlines Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Japan Airlines pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Japan Airlines pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria39.6698
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8514
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.047
SAESum of the absolute errors15.3257
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Japan Airlines Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Japan Airlines. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Japan Airlines

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Japan Airlines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.3321.3321.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.8816.8823.46
Details

Japan Airlines After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Japan Airlines at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Japan Airlines or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Japan Airlines, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Japan Airlines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Japan Airlines' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Japan Airlines' historical news coverage. Japan Airlines' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.33 and 21.33, respectively. We have considered Japan Airlines' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.33
21.33
After-hype Price
21.33
Upside
Japan Airlines is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Japan Airlines is based on 3 months time horizon.

Japan Airlines Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Japan Airlines is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Japan Airlines backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Japan Airlines, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.33
21.33
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Japan Airlines Hype Timeline

Japan Airlines is currently traded for 21.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Japan is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Japan Airlines is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.33. About 20.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Japan Airlines recorded a loss per share of 3.01. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. The firm had 2:1 split on the 26th of September 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Japan Airlines Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Japan Airlines' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Japan Airlines' future price movements. Getting to know how Japan Airlines' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Japan Airlines may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Japan Airlines Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Japan Airlines pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Japan Airlines could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Japan Airlines by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Japan Airlines Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Japan Airlines pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Japan Airlines shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Japan Airlines pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Japan Airlines Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Japan Airlines Risk Indicators

The analysis of Japan Airlines' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Japan Airlines' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting japan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Japan Airlines

The number of cover stories for Japan Airlines depends on current market conditions and Japan Airlines' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Japan Airlines is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Japan Airlines' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Japan Airlines Short Properties

Japan Airlines' future price predictability will typically decrease when Japan Airlines' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Japan Airlines Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Japan Airlines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Japan Airlines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding437 M
Cash And Short Term Investments537.6 B
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Japan Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Japan Airlines check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Japan Airlines' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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