Jubilee Enterprise Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

JUBILE Stock  THB 11.90  0.10  0.85%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jubilee Enterprise Public on the next trading day is expected to be 11.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.20. Jubilee Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jubilee Enterprise stock prices and determine the direction of Jubilee Enterprise Public's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jubilee Enterprise's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Jubilee Enterprise simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Jubilee Enterprise Public are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Jubilee Enterprise Public prices get older.

Jubilee Enterprise Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jubilee Enterprise Public on the next trading day is expected to be 11.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jubilee Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jubilee Enterprise's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jubilee Enterprise Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jubilee Enterprise Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jubilee Enterprise's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jubilee Enterprise's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.94 and 13.86, respectively. We have considered Jubilee Enterprise's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.90
11.90
Expected Value
13.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jubilee Enterprise stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jubilee Enterprise stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6181
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0267
MADMean absolute deviation0.1367
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0105
SAESum of the absolute errors8.2
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Jubilee Enterprise Public forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Jubilee Enterprise observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Jubilee Enterprise

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jubilee Enterprise Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.001.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.9012.5814.27
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jubilee Enterprise

For every potential investor in Jubilee, whether a beginner or expert, Jubilee Enterprise's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jubilee Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jubilee. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jubilee Enterprise's price trends.

Jubilee Enterprise Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jubilee Enterprise stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jubilee Enterprise could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jubilee Enterprise by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jubilee Enterprise Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jubilee Enterprise's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jubilee Enterprise's current price.

Jubilee Enterprise Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jubilee Enterprise stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jubilee Enterprise shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jubilee Enterprise stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jubilee Enterprise Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jubilee Enterprise Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jubilee Enterprise's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jubilee Enterprise's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jubilee stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Jubilee Stock

Jubilee Enterprise financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jubilee Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jubilee with respect to the benefits of owning Jubilee Enterprise security.