SPARTA INFRA Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| JURO11 Fund | 101.20 0.10 0.1% |
SPARTA |
SPARTA INFRA Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SPARTA INFRA FIC on the next trading day is expected to be 101.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SPARTA Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SPARTA INFRA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SPARTA INFRA Fund Forecast Pattern
SPARTA INFRA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SPARTA INFRA's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SPARTA INFRA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 100.67 and 101.83, respectively. We have considered SPARTA INFRA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SPARTA INFRA fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SPARTA INFRA fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5142 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1391 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4745 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0046 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.995 |
Predictive Modules for SPARTA INFRA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPARTA INFRA FIC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for SPARTA INFRA
For every potential investor in SPARTA, whether a beginner or expert, SPARTA INFRA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SPARTA Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SPARTA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SPARTA INFRA's price trends.SPARTA INFRA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SPARTA INFRA fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SPARTA INFRA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SPARTA INFRA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SPARTA INFRA FIC Technical and Predictive Analytics
The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SPARTA INFRA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SPARTA INFRA's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SPARTA INFRA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SPARTA INFRA fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SPARTA INFRA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SPARTA INFRA fund market strength indicators, traders can identify SPARTA INFRA FIC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SPARTA INFRA Risk Indicators
The analysis of SPARTA INFRA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SPARTA INFRA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sparta fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4442 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5758 | |||
| Variance | 0.3315 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios |