Kasten Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| KASTDelisted Stock | USD 1.92 0.00 0.00% |
Kasten Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Kasten's share price is at 54. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kasten, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kasten hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kasten Inc from the perspective of Kasten response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kasten Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.83. Kasten after-hype prediction price | USD 1.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kasten |
Kasten Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kasten price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kasten using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kasten charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kasten Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kasten Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 1.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kasten Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kasten's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kasten Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kasten | Kasten Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kasten pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kasten pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3894 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0319 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3306 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 2.2787 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.8344 |
Predictive Modules for Kasten
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kasten Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kasten's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kasten After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kasten at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kasten or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Kasten, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kasten Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kasten's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kasten's historical news coverage. Kasten's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.92 and 1.92, respectively. We have considered Kasten's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kasten is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kasten Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kasten Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kasten is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kasten backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kasten, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.92 | 1.92 | 0.00 |
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Kasten Hype Timeline
Kasten Inc is now traded for 1.92. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kasten is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kasten is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.92. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Kasten Inc had 1:300 split on the 15th of October 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.Kasten Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kasten's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kasten's future price movements. Getting to know how Kasten's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kasten may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SUAC | ShoulderUP Technology Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CNBL | Citizens National Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1.85 | 0.00 | 7.99 | |
| ERPRF | European Reliance General | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| APXI | APx Acquisition I | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.87 | (1.29) | 4.29 | |
| SEZL | Sezzle Inc | 0.95 | 9 per month | 3.61 | 0.07 | 6.39 | (5.94) | 22.11 | |
| GMPFF | RF Capital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRFE | Trustfeed Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 15.04 | 0.09 | 0.00 | (29.73) | 468.99 | |
| DSAQ | Direct Selling Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JZCLF | JZ Capital Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.71 | |
| BFGX | Bangfu Technology Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Kasten Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kasten pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kasten could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kasten by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kasten Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kasten pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kasten shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kasten pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Kasten Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kasten Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kasten's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kasten's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kasten pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3079.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12302.53 | |||
| Variance | 1.513523064E8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2857.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | (1,231) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (20,988) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kasten
The number of cover stories for Kasten depends on current market conditions and Kasten's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kasten is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kasten's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Other Consideration for investing in Kasten Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Kasten Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Kasten's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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