Konya Cimento Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| KONYA Stock | TRY 6,190 52.50 0.86% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Konya Cimento Sanayi on the next trading day is expected to be 6,187 with a mean absolute deviation of 411.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25,534. Konya Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Konya Cimento's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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Konya Cimento Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Konya Cimento Sanayi on the next trading day is expected to be 6,187 with a mean absolute deviation of 411.83, mean absolute percentage error of 236,458, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25,534.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Konya Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Konya Cimento's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Konya Cimento Stock Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Konya Cimento stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Konya Cimento stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 132.3219 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 411.8314 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0848 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25533.5438 |
Predictive Modules for Konya Cimento
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Konya Cimento Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Konya Cimento Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Konya Cimento stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Konya Cimento could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Konya Cimento by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Konya Cimento Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Konya Cimento stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Konya Cimento shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Konya Cimento stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Konya Cimento Sanayi entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
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Other Information on Investing in Konya Stock
Konya Cimento financial ratios help investors to determine whether Konya Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Konya with respect to the benefits of owning Konya Cimento security.