Konya Cimento Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

KONYA Stock  TRY 6,190  52.50  0.86%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Konya Cimento Sanayi on the next trading day is expected to be 7,515 with a mean absolute deviation of 500.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31,005. Konya Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Konya Cimento's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Konya Cimento polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Konya Cimento Sanayi as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Konya Cimento Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Konya Cimento Sanayi on the next trading day is expected to be 7,515 with a mean absolute deviation of 500.09, mean absolute percentage error of 384,284, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31,005.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Konya Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Konya Cimento's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Konya Cimento Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Konya Cimento stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Konya Cimento stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria132.8075
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation500.0864
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1002
SAESum of the absolute errors31005.3577
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Konya Cimento historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Konya Cimento

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Konya Cimento Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,1906,1906,190
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,6955,6956,809
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
3,9626,2148,465
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Konya Cimento. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Konya Cimento's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Konya Cimento's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Konya Cimento Sanayi.

Konya Cimento Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Konya Cimento stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Konya Cimento could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Konya Cimento by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Konya Cimento Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Konya Cimento stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Konya Cimento shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Konya Cimento stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Konya Cimento Sanayi entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Konya Stock

Konya Cimento financial ratios help investors to determine whether Konya Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Konya with respect to the benefits of owning Konya Cimento security.