Kilroy Realty Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

KRC Stock  EUR 38.60  0.60  1.53%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kilroy Realty Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 39.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.54. Kilroy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kilroy Realty's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Kilroy Realty price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Kilroy Realty Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kilroy Realty Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 39.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.19, mean absolute percentage error of 2.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kilroy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kilroy Realty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kilroy Realty Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kilroy Realty Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kilroy Realty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kilroy Realty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.72 and 41.62, respectively. We have considered Kilroy Realty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38.60
39.67
Expected Value
41.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kilroy Realty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kilroy Realty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.917
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1892
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0331
SAESum of the absolute errors72.5418
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Kilroy Realty Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Kilroy Realty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kilroy Realty Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.6538.6040.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.8836.8338.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.0538.5441.03
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kilroy Realty

For every potential investor in Kilroy, whether a beginner or expert, Kilroy Realty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kilroy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kilroy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kilroy Realty's price trends.

Kilroy Realty Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kilroy Realty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kilroy Realty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kilroy Realty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kilroy Realty Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kilroy Realty's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kilroy Realty's current price.

Kilroy Realty Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kilroy Realty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kilroy Realty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kilroy Realty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kilroy Realty Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kilroy Realty Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kilroy Realty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kilroy Realty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kilroy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Kilroy Stock

When determining whether Kilroy Realty Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Kilroy Realty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Kilroy Realty Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Kilroy Realty Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kilroy Realty to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kilroy Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kilroy Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kilroy Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.