Kronos Bio Stock Forward View

KRONDelisted Stock  USD 0.88  0.00  0.00%   
Kronos Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Kronos Bio's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kronos Bio's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kronos Bio, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Kronos Bio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kronos Bio from the perspective of Kronos Bio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kronos Bio on the next trading day is expected to be 0.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.95.

Kronos Bio after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.88  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Kronos Bio Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kronos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kronos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kronos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Kronos Bio is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kronos Bio value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kronos Bio Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kronos Bio on the next trading day is expected to be 0.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kronos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kronos Bio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kronos Bio Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kronos Bio  Kronos Bio Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kronos Bio stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kronos Bio stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.6735
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.032
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0413
SAESum of the absolute errors1.9496
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Kronos Bio. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kronos Bio. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kronos Bio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kronos Bio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.880.880.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.710.710.97
Details

Kronos Bio After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kronos Bio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kronos Bio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kronos Bio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kronos Bio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kronos Bio's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kronos Bio's historical news coverage. Kronos Bio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.88 and 0.88, respectively. We have considered Kronos Bio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.88
0.88
After-hype Price
0.88
Upside
Kronos Bio is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kronos Bio is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kronos Bio Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kronos Bio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kronos Bio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kronos Bio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
6 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.88
0.88
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Kronos Bio Hype Timeline

Kronos Bio is now traded for 0.88. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kronos is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kronos Bio is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.88. About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.67. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kronos Bio recorded a loss per share of 1.07. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 3rd of November 2003. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Kronos Bio Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kronos Bio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kronos Bio's future price movements. Getting to know how Kronos Bio's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kronos Bio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Kronos Bio Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kronos Bio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kronos Bio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kronos Bio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kronos Bio Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kronos Bio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kronos Bio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kronos Bio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kronos Bio entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kronos Bio Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kronos Bio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kronos Bio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kronos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Kronos Bio

The number of cover stories for Kronos Bio depends on current market conditions and Kronos Bio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kronos Bio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kronos Bio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Kronos Bio Short Properties

Kronos Bio's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kronos Bio's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kronos Bio often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kronos Bio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kronos Bio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments112.4 M
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Other Consideration for investing in Kronos Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Kronos Bio check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Kronos Bio's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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