PT Jasa Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

LAJU Stock   50.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PT Jasa Berdikari on the next trading day is expected to be 50.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. LAJU Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for PT Jasa - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When PT Jasa prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in PT Jasa price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of PT Jasa Berdikari.

PT Jasa Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PT Jasa Berdikari on the next trading day is expected to be 50.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LAJU Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PT Jasa's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PT Jasa Stock Forecast Pattern

PT Jasa Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PT Jasa's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PT Jasa's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.00 and 50.00, respectively. We have considered PT Jasa's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
50.00
50.00
Expected Value
50.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PT Jasa stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PT Jasa stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past PT Jasa observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older PT Jasa Berdikari observations.

Predictive Modules for PT Jasa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Jasa Berdikari. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.0050.0050.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.0050.0050.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
50.0050.0050.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PT Jasa

For every potential investor in LAJU, whether a beginner or expert, PT Jasa's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LAJU Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LAJU. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PT Jasa's price trends.

PT Jasa Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PT Jasa stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PT Jasa could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PT Jasa by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PT Jasa Berdikari Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PT Jasa's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PT Jasa's current price.

PT Jasa Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PT Jasa stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PT Jasa shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PT Jasa stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PT Jasa Berdikari entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in LAJU Stock

PT Jasa financial ratios help investors to determine whether LAJU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LAJU with respect to the benefits of owning PT Jasa security.