LBC Express Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

LBC Stock   10.02  0.48  4.57%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of LBC Express Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 10.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.28. LBC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LBC Express stock prices and determine the direction of LBC Express Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LBC Express' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for LBC Express Holdings is based on a synthetically constructed LBC Expressdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

LBC Express 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of LBC Express Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 10.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LBC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LBC Express' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LBC Express Stock Forecast Pattern

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LBC Express Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LBC Express' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LBC Express' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.06 and 16.77, respectively. We have considered LBC Express' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.02
10.91
Expected Value
16.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LBC Express stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LBC Express stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.3632
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2345
MADMean absolute deviation0.4702
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0437
SAESum of the absolute errors19.277
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. LBC Express Holdings 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for LBC Express

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LBC Express Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.6510.5016.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.219.0614.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.6910.9412.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for LBC Express

For every potential investor in LBC, whether a beginner or expert, LBC Express' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LBC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LBC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LBC Express' price trends.

LBC Express Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LBC Express stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LBC Express could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LBC Express by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LBC Express Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LBC Express' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LBC Express' current price.

LBC Express Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LBC Express stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LBC Express shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LBC Express stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LBC Express Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LBC Express Risk Indicators

The analysis of LBC Express' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LBC Express' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lbc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in LBC Stock

LBC Express financial ratios help investors to determine whether LBC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LBC with respect to the benefits of owning LBC Express security.