Lem Holding Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

LEHN Stock  CHF 292.50  5.00  1.74%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lem Holding SA on the next trading day is expected to be 292.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 509.00. Lem Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Lem Holding's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lem Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lem Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lem Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lem Holding SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lem Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lem Holding SA from the perspective of Lem Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lem Holding SA on the next trading day is expected to be 292.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 509.00.

Lem Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  CHF 292.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Lem Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lem price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lem using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lem charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Lem Holding simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Lem Holding SA are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Lem Holding SA prices get older.

Lem Holding Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lem Holding SA on the next trading day is expected to be 292.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.34, mean absolute percentage error of 171.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 509.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lem Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lem Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lem Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lem HoldingLem Holding Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lem Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lem Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.2558
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.3607
MADMean absolute deviation8.3443
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0223
SAESum of the absolute errors509.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Lem Holding SA forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Lem Holding observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Lem Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lem Holding SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
289.35292.50295.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
268.88272.02321.75
Details

Lem Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lem Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lem Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lem Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lem Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lem Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lem Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lem Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lem Holding SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lem Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lem Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lem Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lem stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Lem Stock Analysis

When running Lem Holding's price analysis, check to measure Lem Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lem Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Lem Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lem Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lem Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lem Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.