Leafly Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

LFLYDelisted Stock  USD 37.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Leafly Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 48.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 479.87. Leafly Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Leafly Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Leafly Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Leafly Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Leafly Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Leafly Holdings from the perspective of Leafly Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Leafly Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 48.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 479.87.

Leafly Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Leafly Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Leafly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Leafly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Leafly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Leafly Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Leafly Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Leafly Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Leafly Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 48.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.87, mean absolute percentage error of 186.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 479.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Leafly Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Leafly Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Leafly Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Leafly HoldingsLeafly Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Leafly Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Leafly Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.3364
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation7.8668
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1545
SAESum of the absolute errors479.873
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Leafly Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Leafly Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Leafly Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leafly Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.0037.0037.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.1535.1540.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.0037.0037.00
Details

Leafly Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Leafly Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Leafly Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Leafly Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Leafly Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Leafly Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Leafly Holdings' historical news coverage. Leafly Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.00 and 37.00, respectively. We have considered Leafly Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
37.00
37.00
After-hype Price
37.00
Upside
Leafly Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Leafly Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Leafly Holdings Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Leafly Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Leafly Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Leafly Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.00
37.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Leafly Holdings Hype Timeline

Leafly Holdings is now traded for 37.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Leafly is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Leafly Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.87. Leafly Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:20 split on the 12th of September 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Leafly Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Leafly Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Leafly Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Leafly Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Leafly Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Leafly Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Leafly Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Leafly Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Leafly Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Leafly Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Leafly Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Leafly Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Leafly Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Leafly Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Leafly Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Leafly Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Leafly Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting leafly pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Leafly Holdings

The number of cover stories for Leafly Holdings depends on current market conditions and Leafly Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Leafly Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Leafly Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Leafly Holdings Short Properties

Leafly Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Leafly Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Leafly Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Leafly Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leafly Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments15.3 M
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Other Consideration for investing in Leafly Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Leafly Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Leafly Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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