Logility Supply Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| LGTYDelisted Stock | 14.29 0.00 0.00% |
Logility Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The value of RSI of Logility Supply's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 92
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Logility Supply hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Logility Supply Chain from the perspective of Logility Supply response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Logility Supply Chain on the next trading day is expected to be 14.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.60. Logility Supply after-hype prediction price | USD 14.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Logility |
Logility Supply Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Logility price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Logility using various technical indicators. When you analyze Logility charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Logility Supply Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Logility Supply Chain on the next trading day is expected to be 14.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Logility Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Logility Supply's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Logility Supply Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Logility Supply | Logility Supply Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Logility Supply stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Logility Supply stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5115 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2885 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0229 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.6001 |
Predictive Modules for Logility Supply
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Logility Supply Chain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Logility Supply's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Logility Supply After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Logility Supply at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Logility Supply or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Logility Supply, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Logility Supply Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Logility Supply's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Logility Supply's historical news coverage. Logility Supply's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.29 and 14.29, respectively. We have considered Logility Supply's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Logility Supply is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Logility Supply Chain is based on 3 months time horizon.
Logility Supply Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Logility Supply is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Logility Supply backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Logility Supply, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.29 | 14.29 | 0.00 |
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Logility Supply Hype Timeline
Logility Supply Chain is now traded for 14.29. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Logility is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Logility Supply is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.29. About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Logility Supply was now reported as 3.72. The company last dividend was issued on the 7th of February 2025. Logility Supply Chain had 3:2 split on the 24th of July 1990. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.Logility Supply Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Logility Supply's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Logility Supply's future price movements. Getting to know how Logility Supply's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Logility Supply may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ETWO | E2open Parent Holdings | 0.01 | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.16 | 4.93 | (3.02) | 26.87 | |
| ABST | Absolute Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EGIO | Edgio Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AIOT | PowerFleet | (0.38) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.91 | (4.03) | 13.44 | |
| SCPL | Sciplay Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CMRC | Commerce | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.80 | (4.60) | 17.34 | |
| CCRD | CoreCard Corp | (0.44) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.18 | (2.96) | 16.08 | |
| AHI | Advanced Health Intelligence | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ALNT | Allient | (3.76) | 10 per month | 2.38 | 0.06 | 4.95 | (4.40) | 11.43 | |
| MIXT | Mix Telemats | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Logility Supply Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Logility Supply stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Logility Supply could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Logility Supply by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Logility Supply Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Logility Supply stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Logility Supply shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Logility Supply stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Logility Supply Chain entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0021 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.3 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.29 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 92.16 |
Logility Supply Risk Indicators
The analysis of Logility Supply's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Logility Supply's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting logility stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8879 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Variance | 9.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5153 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.26) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.21) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Logility Supply
The number of cover stories for Logility Supply depends on current market conditions and Logility Supply's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Logility Supply is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Logility Supply's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Logility Supply Short Properties
Logility Supply's future price predictability will typically decrease when Logility Supply's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Logility Supply Chain often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Logility Supply's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Logility Supply's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.8 M |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Other Consideration for investing in Logility Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Logility Supply Chain check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Logility Supply's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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