Lifex Inflation-protec Mutual Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

A four-period moving average forecast model for Lifex Inflation Protected Income is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Lifex Inflation-protec 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lifex Inflation Protected Income on the next trading day is expected to be 27.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.63.

Lifex Inflation-protec Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lifex Inflation-protec mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lifex Inflation-protec mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Lifex Inflation-protec. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Lifex Inflation Protected Income and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Lifex Inflation-protec

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lifex Inflation-protec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 27.43 27.43 27.43 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 26.96 26.96 30.17 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 27.43 27.43 27.43 Details

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

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