Lilium NV Stock Forward View
| LILMDelisted Stock | USD 0 0.0006 120.00% |
Lilium Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Lilium NV's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lilium NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lilium NV from the perspective of Lilium NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lilium NV on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.14. Lilium NV after-hype prediction price | USD 0.001375 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lilium |
Lilium NV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lilium price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lilium using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lilium charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lilium NV Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lilium NV on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000011, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lilium Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lilium NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lilium NV Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lilium NV | Lilium NV Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lilium NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lilium NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.7059 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0024 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 1.0373 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1439 |
Predictive Modules for Lilium NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lilium NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lilium NV After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lilium NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lilium NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lilium NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lilium NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lilium NV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lilium NV's historical news coverage. Lilium NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Lilium NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lilium NV is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lilium NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lilium NV Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lilium NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lilium NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lilium NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0 | 0 | 25.00 |
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Lilium NV Hype Timeline
Lilium NV is now traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lilium is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.001375 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 25.0%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Lilium NV is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Lilium NV currently holds 11.17 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Lilium NV has a current ratio of 3.81, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Lilium NV's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.Lilium NV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lilium NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lilium NV's future price movements. Getting to know how Lilium NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lilium NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DRTT | Dirtt Environmen | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NM | Navios Maritime Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LLAP | Terran Orbital Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PFIN | PF Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LICY | LiCycle Holdings Corp | 0.01 | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 8.99 | (9.95) | 60.03 | |
| RENO | Renovare Environmental | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TORO | Toro | 0.02 | 8 per month | 2.50 | 0.10 | 7.31 | (4.28) | 48.84 | |
| EHLD | Euroholdings | 0.06 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.14 | (2.10) | 9.31 |
Lilium NV Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lilium NV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lilium NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lilium NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lilium NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lilium NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lilium NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lilium NV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lilium NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lilium NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lilium NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lilium NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lilium stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 147.74 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 18.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 604.02 | |||
| Variance | 364839.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 681.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 353.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (208.82) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lilium NV
The number of cover stories for Lilium NV depends on current market conditions and Lilium NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lilium NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lilium NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lilium NV Short Properties
Lilium NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lilium NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lilium NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lilium NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lilium NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 547.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 195 M |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Other Consideration for investing in Lilium Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Lilium NV check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Lilium NV's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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