Logan Ridge Stock Forward View

LRFCDelisted Stock  USD 19.08  0.00  0.00%   
Logan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Logan Ridge stock prices and determine the direction of Logan Ridge Finance's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Logan Ridge's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Logan Ridge's share price is at 59. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Logan Ridge, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Logan Ridge's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Logan Ridge Finance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Logan Ridge hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Logan Ridge Finance from the perspective of Logan Ridge response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Logan Ridge Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 18.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.04.

Logan Ridge after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Logan Ridge Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Logan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Logan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Logan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Logan Ridge is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Logan Ridge Finance value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Logan Ridge Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Logan Ridge Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 18.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Logan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Logan Ridge's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Logan Ridge Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Logan Ridge  Logan Ridge Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Logan Ridge stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Logan Ridge stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2634
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2958
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0165
SAESum of the absolute errors18.0424
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Logan Ridge Finance. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Logan Ridge. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Logan Ridge

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Logan Ridge Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.0819.0819.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7215.7220.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.9418.5620.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Logan Ridge. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Logan Ridge's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Logan Ridge's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Logan Ridge Finance.

Logan Ridge After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Logan Ridge at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Logan Ridge or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Logan Ridge, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Logan Ridge Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Logan Ridge's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Logan Ridge's historical news coverage. Logan Ridge's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.08 and 19.08, respectively. We have considered Logan Ridge's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.08
19.08
After-hype Price
19.08
Upside
Logan Ridge is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Logan Ridge Finance is based on 3 months time horizon.

Logan Ridge Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Logan Ridge is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Logan Ridge backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Logan Ridge, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.08
19.08
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Logan Ridge Hype Timeline

Logan Ridge Finance is now traded for 19.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Logan is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Logan Ridge is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.08. About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.64. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Logan Ridge Finance recorded a loss per share of 2.72. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2025. The firm had 1:6 split on the 24th of August 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Logan Ridge Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Logan Ridge's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Logan Ridge's future price movements. Getting to know how Logan Ridge's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Logan Ridge may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Logan Ridge Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Logan Ridge stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Logan Ridge could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Logan Ridge by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Logan Ridge Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Logan Ridge stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Logan Ridge shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Logan Ridge stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Logan Ridge Finance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Logan Ridge Risk Indicators

The analysis of Logan Ridge's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Logan Ridge's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting logan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Logan Ridge

The number of cover stories for Logan Ridge depends on current market conditions and Logan Ridge's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Logan Ridge is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Logan Ridge's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Logan Ridge Short Properties

Logan Ridge's future price predictability will typically decrease when Logan Ridge's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Logan Ridge Finance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Logan Ridge's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Logan Ridge's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15 M
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Other Consideration for investing in Logan Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Logan Ridge Finance check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Logan Ridge's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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