Tema Global Etf Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| LUX Etf | 23.33 0.00 0.00% |
Tema Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Tema Global's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tema Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tema Global from the perspective of Tema Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tema Global on the next trading day is expected to be 23.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.40. Tema Global after-hype prediction price | $ 23.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. Tema Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tema price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tema using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tema charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tema Global Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tema Global on the next trading day is expected to be 23.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tema Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tema Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tema Global Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tema Global | Tema Global Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tema Global etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tema Global etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6518 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2361 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0104 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.4038 |
Predictive Modules for Tema Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tema Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tema Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tema Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tema Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tema Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Tema Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tema Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tema Global's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tema Global's historical news coverage. Tema Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.33 and 23.33, respectively. We have considered Tema Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tema Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tema Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tema Global Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Tema Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tema Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tema Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.33 | 23.33 | 0.00 |
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Tema Global Hype Timeline
On the 10th of February Tema Global is traded for 23.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tema is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tema Global is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.33. The book value of the company was now reported as 13.48. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2017. Tema Global had 2:1 split on the 27th of June 2000. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.Tema Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tema Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tema Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Tema Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tema Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WBAT | WisdomTree | (0.30) | 1 per month | 1.95 | (0.04) | 2.62 | (2.95) | 12.23 | |
| SCY | Simplify Asset Management | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.77 | (0.01) | 3.66 | (3.79) | 30.87 | |
| KDIV | KDIV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PRMN | PlanRock Investments | 0.07 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 0.65 | (0.66) | 3.31 | |
| EDUT | Global X | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FNTC | Direxion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ECOZ | TrueMark Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ABHY | FCF Advisors | 0.03 | 3 per month | 0.19 | (0.22) | 0.47 | (0.37) | 1.61 | |
| SPQ | Simplify Asset Management | (25.84) | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 3.53 | (5.00) | 646,000 | |
| UBCB | Ultra Blue Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Tema Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tema Global etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tema Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tema Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tema Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tema Global etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tema Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tema Global etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Tema Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Tema Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tema Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tema Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tema etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9067 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9351 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Variance | 1.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8744 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tema Global
The number of cover stories for Tema Global depends on current market conditions and Tema Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tema Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tema Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Tema Global's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Tema's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Tema Global's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Tema Global's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Tema Global's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Tema Global represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Tema Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.