Roundhill Magnificent Etf Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

MAGS Etf  USD 51.04  0.06  0.12%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Roundhill Magnificent Seven on the next trading day is expected to be 51.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.76. Roundhill Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Roundhill Magnificent Seven is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Roundhill Magnificent 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Roundhill Magnificent Seven on the next trading day is expected to be 51.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75, mean absolute percentage error of 0.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.76.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Roundhill Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Roundhill Magnificent's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Roundhill Magnificent Etf Forecast Pattern

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Roundhill Magnificent Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Roundhill Magnificent's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Roundhill Magnificent's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.93 and 52.99, respectively. We have considered Roundhill Magnificent's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
51.04
51.46
Expected Value
52.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Roundhill Magnificent etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Roundhill Magnificent etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.7414
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3385
MADMean absolute deviation0.7502
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0156
SAESum of the absolute errors42.7625
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Roundhill Magnificent. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Roundhill Magnificent Seven and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Roundhill Magnificent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roundhill Magnificent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.3650.8952.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.5550.0851.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
45.2949.1252.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Roundhill Magnificent. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Roundhill Magnificent's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Roundhill Magnificent's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Roundhill Magnificent.

Other Forecasting Options for Roundhill Magnificent

For every potential investor in Roundhill, whether a beginner or expert, Roundhill Magnificent's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Roundhill Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Roundhill. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Roundhill Magnificent's price trends.

Roundhill Magnificent Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Roundhill Magnificent etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Roundhill Magnificent could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Roundhill Magnificent by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Roundhill Magnificent Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Roundhill Magnificent's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Roundhill Magnificent's current price.

Roundhill Magnificent Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Roundhill Magnificent etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Roundhill Magnificent shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Roundhill Magnificent etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Roundhill Magnificent Seven entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Roundhill Magnificent Risk Indicators

The analysis of Roundhill Magnificent's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Roundhill Magnificent's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roundhill etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  
When determining whether Roundhill Magnificent is a strong investment it is important to analyze Roundhill Magnificent's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Roundhill Magnificent's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Roundhill Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Roundhill Magnificent to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
The market value of Roundhill Magnificent is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Roundhill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Roundhill Magnificent's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Roundhill Magnificent's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Roundhill Magnificent's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Roundhill Magnificent's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Roundhill Magnificent's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Roundhill Magnificent is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Roundhill Magnificent's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.