Malu Paper Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MALUPAPER | 45.08 0.87 1.97% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Malu Paper Mills on the next trading day is expected to be 44.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.39. Malu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Malu Paper's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Malu Paper's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Malu Paper fundamentals over time.
Malu |
Malu Paper Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Malu Paper Mills on the next trading day is expected to be 44.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06, mean absolute percentage error of 1.93, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Malu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Malu Paper's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Malu Paper Stock Forecast Pattern
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Malu Paper Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Malu Paper's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Malu Paper's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.19 and 48.00, respectively. We have considered Malu Paper's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Malu Paper stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Malu Paper stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7659 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0556 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0224 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 64.391 |
Predictive Modules for Malu Paper
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Malu Paper Mills. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Malu Paper
For every potential investor in Malu, whether a beginner or expert, Malu Paper's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Malu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Malu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Malu Paper's price trends.Malu Paper Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Malu Paper stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Malu Paper could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Malu Paper by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Malu Paper Mills Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Malu Paper's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Malu Paper's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Malu Paper Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Malu Paper stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Malu Paper shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Malu Paper stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Malu Paper Mills entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Malu Paper Risk Indicators
The analysis of Malu Paper's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Malu Paper's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting malu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.37 | |||
| Variance | 11.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Malu Stock Analysis
When running Malu Paper's price analysis, check to measure Malu Paper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Malu Paper is operating at the current time. Most of Malu Paper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Malu Paper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Malu Paper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Malu Paper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.