Mars Acquisition Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MARXDelisted Stock   2.20  0.21  8.71%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mars Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 4.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.31. Mars Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Mars Acquisition's share price is approaching 30. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mars Acquisition, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 30

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mars Acquisition's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mars Acquisition Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Mars Acquisition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mars Acquisition Corp from the perspective of Mars Acquisition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mars Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 4.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.31.

Mars Acquisition after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

Mars Acquisition Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mars price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mars using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mars charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Mars Acquisition is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mars Acquisition Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Mars Acquisition Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mars Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 4.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73, mean absolute percentage error of 1.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mars Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mars Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mars Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mars AcquisitionMars Acquisition Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mars Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mars Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5439
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7264
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1205
SAESum of the absolute errors44.3131
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Mars Acquisition Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Mars Acquisition. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Mars Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mars Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.202.202.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.092.092.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1.427.3813.34
Details

Mars Acquisition After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mars Acquisition at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mars Acquisition or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mars Acquisition, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mars Acquisition Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mars Acquisition's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mars Acquisition's historical news coverage. Mars Acquisition's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.20 and 2.20, respectively. We have considered Mars Acquisition's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.20
2.20
After-hype Price
2.20
Upside
Mars Acquisition is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mars Acquisition Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mars Acquisition Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mars Acquisition is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mars Acquisition backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mars Acquisition, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.20
2.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Mars Acquisition Hype Timeline

Mars Acquisition Corp is now traded for 2.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mars is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mars Acquisition is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.20. About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.5. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mars Acquisition Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

Mars Acquisition Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mars Acquisition's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mars Acquisition's future price movements. Getting to know how Mars Acquisition's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mars Acquisition may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Mars Acquisition Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mars Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mars Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mars Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mars Acquisition Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mars Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mars Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mars Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mars Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Mars Acquisition

The number of cover stories for Mars Acquisition depends on current market conditions and Mars Acquisition's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mars Acquisition is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mars Acquisition's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Mars Acquisition Short Properties

Mars Acquisition's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mars Acquisition's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mars Acquisition Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mars Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mars Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments178.8 K
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Other Consideration for investing in Mars Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Mars Acquisition Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Mars Acquisition's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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