MODEC Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

MDIKFDelisted Stock  USD 18.29  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MODEC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 18.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. MODEC Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MODEC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for MODEC is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of MODEC Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

MODEC Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MODEC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 18.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MODEC Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MODEC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MODEC Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest MODECMODEC Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MODEC pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MODEC pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria55.3383
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of MODEC Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict MODEC. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for MODEC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MODEC Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2918.2918.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5515.5520.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.2918.2918.29
Details

MODEC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MODEC pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MODEC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MODEC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MODEC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MODEC pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MODEC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MODEC pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify MODEC Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Other Consideration for investing in MODEC Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in MODEC Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the MODEC's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device