Monarch Gulf Stock Forward View
Monarch Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of Monarch Gulf's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) |
Using Monarch Gulf hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Monarch Gulf Exploration from the perspective of Monarch Gulf response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Monarch Gulf Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Monarch Gulf after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monarch Gulf to cross-verify your projections. Monarch Gulf Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Monarch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monarch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Monarch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Monarch Gulf's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 22.7 K | Current Value 21.6 K | Quarterly Volatility 1.9 K |
Monarch Gulf Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Monarch Gulf Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Monarch Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Monarch Gulf's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Monarch Gulf Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Monarch Gulf | Monarch Gulf Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Monarch Gulf Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Monarch Gulf's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Monarch Gulf's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Monarch Gulf's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Monarch Gulf stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Monarch Gulf stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Monarch Gulf
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monarch Gulf Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Monarch Gulf Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Monarch Gulf is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Monarch Gulf backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Monarch Gulf, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
|
Monarch Gulf Hype Timeline
Monarch Gulf Exploration is now traded for 0.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Monarch is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Monarch Gulf is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.03. Monarch Gulf Exploration had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 33333:100000 split on the 20th of September 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monarch Gulf to cross-verify your projections.Monarch Gulf Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Monarch Gulf's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Monarch Gulf's future price movements. Getting to know how Monarch Gulf's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Monarch Gulf may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GSVI | GSV Inc | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NKRSF | Niko Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QOIL | Quest Oil Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| POOSF | Poseidon Concepts Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OUTB | Outback Oil Mineral | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FLSS | Forbes Energy Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AECFF | Action Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AMCF | Andatee China Marine | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RRRI | Rock Ridge Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FPPP | FieldPoint Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Monarch Gulf
For every potential investor in Monarch, whether a beginner or expert, Monarch Gulf's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Monarch Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Monarch. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Monarch Gulf's price trends.Monarch Gulf Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Monarch Gulf stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Monarch Gulf could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Monarch Gulf by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Story Coverage note for Monarch Gulf
The number of cover stories for Monarch Gulf depends on current market conditions and Monarch Gulf's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Monarch Gulf is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Monarch Gulf's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Monarch Stock Analysis
When running Monarch Gulf's price analysis, check to measure Monarch Gulf's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Monarch Gulf is operating at the current time. Most of Monarch Gulf's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Monarch Gulf's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Monarch Gulf's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Monarch Gulf to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.