Multi Hanna Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

MHKI Stock   106.00  1.00  0.93%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Multi Hanna Kreasindo on the next trading day is expected to be 99.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 204.36. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Multi Hanna's stock prices and determine the direction of Multi Hanna Kreasindo's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Multi Hanna's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Multi Hanna polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Multi Hanna Kreasindo as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Multi Hanna Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Multi Hanna Kreasindo on the next trading day is expected to be 99.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.30, mean absolute percentage error of 19.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 204.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Multi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Multi Hanna's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Multi Hanna Stock Forecast Pattern

Multi Hanna Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Multi Hanna's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Multi Hanna's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 96.04 and 102.14, respectively. We have considered Multi Hanna's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
106.00
99.09
Expected Value
102.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Multi Hanna stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Multi Hanna stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.9018
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.2962
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0267
SAESum of the absolute errors204.3626
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Multi Hanna historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Multi Hanna

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multi Hanna Kreasindo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Multi Hanna

For every potential investor in Multi, whether a beginner or expert, Multi Hanna's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Multi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Multi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Multi Hanna's price trends.

Multi Hanna Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Multi Hanna stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Multi Hanna could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Multi Hanna by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Multi Hanna Kreasindo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Multi Hanna's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Multi Hanna's current price.

Multi Hanna Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Multi Hanna stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Multi Hanna shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Multi Hanna stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Multi Hanna Kreasindo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Multi Hanna Risk Indicators

The analysis of Multi Hanna's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Multi Hanna's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting multi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect