Matthews Asian Mutual Fund Forward View

MICSXDelisted Fund  USD 13.56  0.00  0.00%   
Matthews Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Matthews Asian's share price is at 53. This indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Matthews Asian, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 53

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Matthews Asian's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Matthews Asian Growth, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Matthews Asian hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Matthews Asian Growth from the perspective of Matthews Asian response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Matthews Asian Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 13.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.82.

Matthews Asian after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Matthews Asian Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Matthews price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Matthews using various technical indicators. When you analyze Matthews charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Matthews Asian is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Matthews Asian Growth value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Matthews Asian Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Matthews Asian Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 13.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Matthews Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Matthews Asian's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Matthews Asian Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Matthews Asian  Matthews Asian Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Matthews Asian mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Matthews Asian mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.8686
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0954
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0072
SAESum of the absolute errors5.8197
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Matthews Asian Growth. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Matthews Asian. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Matthews Asian

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matthews Asian Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Matthews Asian's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5613.5613.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4812.4814.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.1713.4813.79
Details

Matthews Asian After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Matthews Asian at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Matthews Asian or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Matthews Asian, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Matthews Asian Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Matthews Asian's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Matthews Asian's historical news coverage. Matthews Asian's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.56 and 13.56, respectively. We have considered Matthews Asian's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.56
13.56
After-hype Price
13.56
Upside
Matthews Asian is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Matthews Asian Growth is based on 3 months time horizon.

Matthews Asian Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Matthews Asian is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Matthews Asian backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Matthews Asian, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
4 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.56
13.56
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Matthews Asian Hype Timeline

Matthews Asian Growth is now traded for 13.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Matthews is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Matthews Asian is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.56. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.8. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Matthews Asian Growth last dividend was issued on the 17th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Matthews Asian Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Matthews Asian's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Matthews Asian's future price movements. Getting to know how Matthews Asian's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Matthews Asian may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Matthews Asian Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Matthews Asian mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Matthews Asian could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Matthews Asian by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Matthews Asian Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Matthews Asian mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Matthews Asian shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Matthews Asian mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Matthews Asian Growth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Matthews Asian

The number of cover stories for Matthews Asian depends on current market conditions and Matthews Asian's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Matthews Asian is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Matthews Asian's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

Other Consideration for investing in Matthews Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Matthews Asian Growth check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Matthews Asian's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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