Mitsui Chemicals Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MITUFDelisted Stock | USD 23.28 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mitsui Chemicals on the next trading day is expected to be 22.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.65. Mitsui Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mitsui Chemicals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Mitsui Chemicals' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mitsui Chemicals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mitsui Chemicals from the perspective of Mitsui Chemicals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mitsui Chemicals on the next trading day is expected to be 22.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.65. Mitsui Chemicals after-hype prediction price | USD 23.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mitsui |
Mitsui Chemicals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mitsui price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mitsui using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mitsui charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mitsui Chemicals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mitsui Chemicals on the next trading day is expected to be 22.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mitsui Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mitsui Chemicals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mitsui Chemicals Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mitsui Chemicals | Mitsui Chemicals Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mitsui Chemicals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mitsui Chemicals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1111 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1582 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0066 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.651 |
Predictive Modules for Mitsui Chemicals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitsui Chemicals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mitsui Chemicals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mitsui Chemicals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mitsui Chemicals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mitsui Chemicals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Mitsui Chemicals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mitsui Chemicals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mitsui Chemicals' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mitsui Chemicals' historical news coverage. Mitsui Chemicals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.28 and 23.28, respectively. We have considered Mitsui Chemicals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mitsui Chemicals is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mitsui Chemicals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mitsui Chemicals Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mitsui Chemicals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mitsui Chemicals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mitsui Chemicals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.28 | 23.28 | 0.00 |
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Mitsui Chemicals Hype Timeline
Mitsui Chemicals is now traded for 23.28. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mitsui is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mitsui Chemicals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.28. About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.01. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mitsui Chemicals recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.42. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2022. The firm had a split on the 27th of September 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.Mitsui Chemicals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mitsui Chemicals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mitsui Chemicals' future price movements. Getting to know how Mitsui Chemicals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mitsui Chemicals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NOFCF | NOF Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CLZNF | Clariant AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.53 | |
| AWTRF | Air Water | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SOMMF | Sumitomo Chemical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SASOF | Sasol Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 43.24 | |
| KPTCY | Kansai Paint Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.19 | |
| WKCMF | Wacker Chemie AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.83 | 0.05 | 3.75 | (3.49) | 18.08 | |
| KURRY | Kuraray Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.14 | (3.36) | 7.25 | |
| HXXPY | HEXPOL AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KSANF | Kansai Paint Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Mitsui Chemicals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mitsui Chemicals pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mitsui Chemicals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mitsui Chemicals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mitsui Chemicals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mitsui Chemicals pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mitsui Chemicals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mitsui Chemicals pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Mitsui Chemicals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Mitsui Chemicals
The number of cover stories for Mitsui Chemicals depends on current market conditions and Mitsui Chemicals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mitsui Chemicals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mitsui Chemicals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mitsui Chemicals Short Properties
Mitsui Chemicals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Mitsui Chemicals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mitsui Chemicals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mitsui Chemicals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mitsui Chemicals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 105.00 | |
| Float Shares | 186.72M | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 421.86% |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Other Consideration for investing in Mitsui Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Mitsui Chemicals check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Mitsui Chemicals' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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