CFM Indosuez Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MLCFM Stock  EUR 1,150  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CFM Indosuez Wealth on the next trading day is expected to be 1,201 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,079. CFM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for CFM Indosuez is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CFM Indosuez Wealth value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CFM Indosuez Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CFM Indosuez Wealth on the next trading day is expected to be 1,201 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.69, mean absolute percentage error of 521.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,079.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CFM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CFM Indosuez's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CFM Indosuez Stock Forecast Pattern

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CFM Indosuez Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CFM Indosuez's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CFM Indosuez's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,199 and 1,202, respectively. We have considered CFM Indosuez's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,150
1,201
Expected Value
1,202
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CFM Indosuez stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CFM Indosuez stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.3674
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation17.6873
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0152
SAESum of the absolute errors1078.9275
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of CFM Indosuez Wealth. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CFM Indosuez. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CFM Indosuez

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CFM Indosuez Wealth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1481,1501,152
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
963.36964.881,265
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,1501,1501,150
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CFM Indosuez

For every potential investor in CFM, whether a beginner or expert, CFM Indosuez's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CFM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CFM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CFM Indosuez's price trends.

CFM Indosuez Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CFM Indosuez stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CFM Indosuez could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CFM Indosuez by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CFM Indosuez Wealth Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CFM Indosuez's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CFM Indosuez's current price.

CFM Indosuez Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CFM Indosuez stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CFM Indosuez shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CFM Indosuez stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CFM Indosuez Wealth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CFM Indosuez Risk Indicators

The analysis of CFM Indosuez's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CFM Indosuez's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cfm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for CFM Stock Analysis

When running CFM Indosuez's price analysis, check to measure CFM Indosuez's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CFM Indosuez is operating at the current time. Most of CFM Indosuez's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CFM Indosuez's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CFM Indosuez's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CFM Indosuez to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.