Modus Therapeutics Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

MODTX Stock   0.31  0.01  3.33%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Modus Therapeutics Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.86. Modus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Modus Therapeutics' share price is at 50. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Modus Therapeutics, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Modus Therapeutics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Modus Therapeutics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Modus Therapeutics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Modus Therapeutics Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Modus Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Modus Therapeutics Holding from the perspective of Modus Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Modus Therapeutics Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.86.

Modus Therapeutics after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 0.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in discontinued.

Modus Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Modus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Modus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Modus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Modus Therapeutics Holding is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Modus Therapeutics 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Modus Therapeutics Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Modus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Modus Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Modus Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Modus TherapeuticsModus Therapeutics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Modus Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Modus Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.7757
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0065
MADMean absolute deviation0.015
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0405
SAESum of the absolute errors0.8575
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Modus Therapeutics. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Modus Therapeutics Holding and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Modus Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Modus Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Modus Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.314.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.294.77
Details

Modus Therapeutics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Modus Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Modus Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Modus Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Modus Therapeutics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Modus Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Modus Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Modus Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Modus Therapeutics Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Modus Therapeutics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Modus Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Modus Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting modus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Modus Stock Analysis

When running Modus Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Modus Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Modus Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Modus Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Modus Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Modus Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Modus Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.