MPLN Old Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MPLN Old Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MPLN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MPLN using various technical indicators. When you analyze MPLN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for MPLN Old is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of MPLN Old value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

MPLN Old Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MPLN Old on the next trading day is expected to be 17.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28, mean absolute percentage error of 3.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.27.

MPLN Old Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MPLN Old

MPLN Old Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MPLN Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MPLN Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of MPLN Old. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict MPLN Old. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for MPLN Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MPLN Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 23.15 23.15 23.15 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 17.38 17.38 25.47 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 14.43 23.15 31.87 Details

MPLN Old After-Hype Price Density Analysis

MPLN Old Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

MPLN Old Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

MPLN Old Hype Timeline

MPLN Old is now traded for 23.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MPLN is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on MPLN Old is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.15. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of MPLN Old was now reported as 5.19. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.03. MPLN Old recorded a loss per share of 101.92. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:40 split on the 23rd of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

MPLN Old Related Hype Analysis

MPLN Old Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

MPLN Old Market Strength Events

MPLN Old Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for MPLN Old

MPLN Old Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in MPLN Stock