Meso Numismatics Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

MSSVDelisted Stock  USD 0.02  0  12.50%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Meso Numismatics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.41. Meso Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Meso Numismatics' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Meso Numismatics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Meso Numismatics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Meso Numismatics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Meso Numismatics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Meso Numismatics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Meso Numismatics from the perspective of Meso Numismatics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Meso Numismatics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.41.

Meso Numismatics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Meso Numismatics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Meso price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Meso using various technical indicators. When you analyze Meso charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Meso Numismatics price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Meso Numismatics Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Meso Numismatics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000066, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Meso Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Meso Numismatics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Meso Numismatics Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Meso NumismaticsMeso Numismatics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Meso Numismatics pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Meso Numismatics pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.4899
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0068
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2013
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4138
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Meso Numismatics historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Meso Numismatics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meso Numismatics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Meso Numismatics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.020.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.020.02
Details

Meso Numismatics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Meso Numismatics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Meso Numismatics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Meso Numismatics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Meso Numismatics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Meso Numismatics' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Meso Numismatics' historical news coverage. Meso Numismatics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 0.02, respectively. We have considered Meso Numismatics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.02
0.02
After-hype Price
0.02
Upside
Meso Numismatics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Meso Numismatics is based on 3 months time horizon.

Meso Numismatics Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Meso Numismatics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Meso Numismatics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Meso Numismatics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.02
0.02
4.76 
0.00  
Notes

Meso Numismatics Hype Timeline

Meso Numismatics is now traded for 0.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Meso is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.76%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Meso Numismatics is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Meso Numismatics recorded a loss per share of 1.2. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of September 2018. The firm had 1:1000 split on the 26th of September 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Meso Numismatics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Meso Numismatics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Meso Numismatics' future price movements. Getting to know how Meso Numismatics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Meso Numismatics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Meso Numismatics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Meso Numismatics pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Meso Numismatics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Meso Numismatics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Meso Numismatics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Meso Numismatics pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Meso Numismatics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Meso Numismatics pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Meso Numismatics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Meso Numismatics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Meso Numismatics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Meso Numismatics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting meso pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Meso Numismatics

The number of cover stories for Meso Numismatics depends on current market conditions and Meso Numismatics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Meso Numismatics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Meso Numismatics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Meso Numismatics Short Properties

Meso Numismatics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Meso Numismatics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Meso Numismatics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Meso Numismatics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meso Numismatics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.5 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Meso Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Meso Numismatics check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Meso Numismatics' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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