Mid Southern Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression
Mid Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mid Southern stock prices and determine the direction of Mid Southern Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mid Southern's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Mid Southern's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mid Southern hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mid Southern Bancorp from the perspective of Mid Southern response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Mid Southern Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be -1.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.04. Mid Southern after-hype prediction price | USD -0.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Mid Southern Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mid price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mid using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mid charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mid Southern Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Mid Southern Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be -1.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.85, mean absolute percentage error of 7.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mid Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mid Southern's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mid Southern Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mid Southern | Mid Southern Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mid Southern pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mid Southern pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.0859 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.8531 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.223372036854776E14 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 113.0409 |
Predictive Modules for Mid Southern
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mid Southern Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mid Southern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mid Southern After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mid Southern at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mid Southern or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Mid Southern, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mid Southern Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mid Southern's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mid Southern's historical news coverage. Mid Southern's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 25.98, respectively. We have considered Mid Southern's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mid Southern is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mid Southern Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mid Southern Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mid Southern is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mid Southern backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mid Southern, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
6.30 | 26.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
-0.05 | -0.05 | 0.00 |
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Mid Southern Hype Timeline
Mid Southern Bancorp is now traded for -0.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mid is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -6.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mid Southern is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.05. About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.2. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mid Southern Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 10th of August 2023. The entity had 2346:1000 split on the 12th of July 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.Mid Southern Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mid Southern's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mid Southern's future price movements. Getting to know how Mid Southern's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mid Southern may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ORBN | Oregon Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | 0.24 | 2.33 | (1.18) | 9.11 | |
| NIDB | Northeast Indiana Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.01 | 1.94 | (1.83) | 7.18 | |
| CEFC | Commercial National Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 2.41 | (1.06) | 5.36 | |
| FBVI | FCN Banc Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | 0.05 | 1.48 | (1.30) | 6.89 | |
| CBAF | Citba Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.13 | 2.62 | (1.90) | 16.61 | |
| CZBC | Citizens Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.03 | 2.07 | (2.50) | 8.31 | |
| CIBH | CIB Marine Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.48 | (0.03) | 1.64 | (1.40) | 8.27 | |
| FGFI | First Greenwich Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.46 | |
| EQFN | Equitable Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | 0.01 | 2.18 | (1.93) | 8.23 | |
| FFWC | FFW Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.69 | (0.55) | 3.53 |
Mid Southern Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mid Southern pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mid Southern could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mid Southern by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mid Southern Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mid Southern's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mid Southern's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mid pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2222 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5787 | |||
| Variance | 0.3349 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0813 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.09) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mid Southern
The number of cover stories for Mid Southern depends on current market conditions and Mid Southern's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mid Southern is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mid Southern's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mid Southern Short Properties
Mid Southern's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mid Southern's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mid Southern Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mid Southern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mid Southern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 111 M |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Other Consideration for investing in Mid Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Mid Southern Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Mid Southern's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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