Metals Acquisition Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MTALDelisted Stock  USD 12.21  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Metals Acquisition Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 12.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.75. Metals Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Metals Acquisition's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Metals Acquisition's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Metals Acquisition and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Metals Acquisition's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Metals Acquisition Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Metals Acquisition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Metals Acquisition Limited from the perspective of Metals Acquisition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Metals Acquisition Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 12.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.75.

Metals Acquisition after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Metals Acquisition Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Metals price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Metals using various technical indicators. When you analyze Metals charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Metals Acquisition simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Metals Acquisition Limited are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Metals Acquisition prices get older.

Metals Acquisition Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Metals Acquisition Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 12.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Metals Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Metals Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Metals Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Metals AcquisitionMetals Acquisition Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Metals Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Metals Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.199
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0035
MADMean absolute deviation0.0125
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.001
SAESum of the absolute errors0.75
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Metals Acquisition Limited forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Metals Acquisition observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Metals Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metals Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2112.2112.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3410.3413.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Metals Acquisition. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Metals Acquisition's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Metals Acquisition's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Metals Acquisition.

Metals Acquisition Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Metals Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Metals Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Metals Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Metals Acquisition Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Metals Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Metals Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Metals Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Metals Acquisition Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Metals Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Metals Acquisition check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Metals Acquisition's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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