Meitav Dash Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MTDS Stock  ILS 2,400  31.00  1.28%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Meitav Dash Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 2,400 with a mean absolute deviation of 33.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,990. Meitav Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Meitav Dash stock prices and determine the direction of Meitav Dash Investments's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Meitav Dash's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Meitav Dash simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Meitav Dash Investments are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Meitav Dash Investments prices get older.

Meitav Dash Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Meitav Dash Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 2,400 with a mean absolute deviation of 33.17, mean absolute percentage error of 1,707, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,990.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Meitav Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Meitav Dash's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Meitav Dash Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Meitav DashMeitav Dash Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Meitav Dash Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Meitav Dash's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Meitav Dash's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,398 and 2,402, respectively. We have considered Meitav Dash's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,400
2,400
Expected Value
2,402
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Meitav Dash stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Meitav Dash stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.7149
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -13.2
MADMean absolute deviation33.1667
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0175
SAESum of the absolute errors1990.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Meitav Dash Investments forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Meitav Dash observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Meitav Dash

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meitav Dash Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,3982,4002,402
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,1602,5932,595
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,6532,0002,348
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Meitav Dash

For every potential investor in Meitav, whether a beginner or expert, Meitav Dash's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Meitav Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Meitav. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Meitav Dash's price trends.

Meitav Dash Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Meitav Dash stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Meitav Dash could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Meitav Dash by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Meitav Dash Investments Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Meitav Dash's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Meitav Dash's current price.

Meitav Dash Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Meitav Dash stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Meitav Dash shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Meitav Dash stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Meitav Dash Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Meitav Dash Risk Indicators

The analysis of Meitav Dash's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Meitav Dash's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting meitav stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Meitav Stock

Meitav Dash financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meitav Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meitav with respect to the benefits of owning Meitav Dash security.