Mural Oncology Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MURA Stock | 2.04 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mural Oncology plc on the next trading day is expected to be 2.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.53. Mural Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mural Oncology stock prices and determine the direction of Mural Oncology plc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mural Oncology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 1.79. The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 18.4 M. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Mural Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Mural Oncology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Mural Oncology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Mural Oncology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Mural Oncology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Mural Oncology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Mural Oncology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Mural. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Mural Oncology Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Mural Oncology's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 115.5 M | Current Value 93.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 82.5 M |
Mural Oncology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mural Oncology plc on the next trading day is expected to be 2.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mural Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mural Oncology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mural Oncology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mural Oncology | Mural Oncology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mural Oncology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mural Oncology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.2667 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0087 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0042 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.5324 |
Predictive Modules for Mural Oncology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mural Oncology plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mural Oncology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mural Oncology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mural Oncology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mural Oncology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mural Oncology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mural Oncology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mural Oncology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mural Oncology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mural Oncology plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mural Oncology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mural Oncology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mural Oncology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mural stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3799 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6522 | |||
| Variance | 0.4253 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Mural Oncology plc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Mural Oncology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mural Oncology Plc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mural Oncology Plc Stock:Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mural Oncology. If investors know Mural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mural Oncology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Mural Oncology plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mural Oncology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mural Oncology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mural Oncology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mural Oncology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mural Oncology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mural Oncology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mural Oncology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.