MTI Wireless Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

MWE Stock   45.00  1.00  2.17%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of MTI Wireless Edge on the next trading day is expected to be 45.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.12. MTI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast MTI Wireless stock prices and determine the direction of MTI Wireless Edge's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MTI Wireless' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, MTI Wireless' Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 13.7 M, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is forecasted to decline to about 22.1 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for MTI Wireless Edge is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

MTI Wireless 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of MTI Wireless Edge on the next trading day is expected to be 45.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12, mean absolute percentage error of 2.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MTI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MTI Wireless' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MTI Wireless Stock Forecast Pattern

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MTI Wireless Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MTI Wireless' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MTI Wireless' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 43.28 and 47.72, respectively. We have considered MTI Wireless' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
45.00
45.50
Expected Value
47.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MTI Wireless stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MTI Wireless stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.8454
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1645
MADMean absolute deviation1.125
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0243
SAESum of the absolute errors64.125
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of MTI Wireless. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for MTI Wireless Edge and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for MTI Wireless

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MTI Wireless Edge. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.1645.3847.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.9738.1949.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
44.0245.6947.37
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.010.01
Details

Other Forecasting Options for MTI Wireless

For every potential investor in MTI, whether a beginner or expert, MTI Wireless' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MTI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MTI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MTI Wireless' price trends.

MTI Wireless Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MTI Wireless stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MTI Wireless could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MTI Wireless by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MTI Wireless Edge Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MTI Wireless' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MTI Wireless' current price.

MTI Wireless Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MTI Wireless stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MTI Wireless shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MTI Wireless stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MTI Wireless Edge entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MTI Wireless Risk Indicators

The analysis of MTI Wireless' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MTI Wireless' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mti stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in MTI Stock

MTI Wireless financial ratios help investors to determine whether MTI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MTI with respect to the benefits of owning MTI Wireless security.