Nascent Wine Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NCTW Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.000003%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nascent Wine on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Nascent Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Nascent Wine's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nascent Wine's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nascent Wine and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nascent Wine's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nascent Wine, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nascent Wine's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.69)
Using Nascent Wine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nascent Wine from the perspective of Nascent Wine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nascent Wine on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Nascent Wine after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
At this time, Nascent Wine's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 18.91 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 3.54 in 2026. . Net Loss is likely to climb to about (28.3 M) in 2026.

Nascent Wine Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nascent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nascent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nascent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Nascent Wine's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
273.5 K
Current Value
520.9 K
Quarterly Volatility
90.4 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Nascent Wine is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nascent Wine value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nascent Wine Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nascent Wine on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nascent Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nascent Wine's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nascent Wine Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nascent WineNascent Wine Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nascent Wine stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nascent Wine stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria61.4946
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nascent Wine. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nascent Wine. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nascent Wine

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nascent Wine. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nascent Wine's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Nascent Wine Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nascent Wine stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nascent Wine could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nascent Wine by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nascent Wine Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nascent Wine stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nascent Wine shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nascent Wine stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nascent Wine entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Nascent Stock Analysis

When running Nascent Wine's price analysis, check to measure Nascent Wine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nascent Wine is operating at the current time. Most of Nascent Wine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nascent Wine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nascent Wine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nascent Wine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.