Nabors Energy Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression

NETDUDelisted Stock   11.49  0.00  0.00%   
Nabors Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Nabors Energy's share price is above 70 at this time. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Nabors, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 71

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nabors Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nabors Energy Transition, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Nabors Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nabors Energy Transition from the perspective of Nabors Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nabors Energy Transition on the next trading day is expected to be 11.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.79.

Nabors Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Nabors Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nabors price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nabors using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nabors charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Nabors Energy polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Nabors Energy Transition as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Nabors Energy Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nabors Energy Transition on the next trading day is expected to be 11.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nabors Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nabors Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nabors Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nabors Energy  Nabors Energy Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nabors Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nabors Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.5156
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0457
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.004
SAESum of the absolute errors2.7851
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Nabors Energy historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Nabors Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nabors Energy Transition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nabors Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4911.4911.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.739.7312.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.1711.3911.61
Details

Nabors Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nabors Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nabors Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nabors Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nabors Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nabors Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nabors Energy's historical news coverage. Nabors Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.49 and 11.49, respectively. We have considered Nabors Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.49
11.49
After-hype Price
11.49
Upside
Nabors Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nabors Energy Transition is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nabors Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nabors Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nabors Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nabors Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.49
11.49
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Nabors Energy Hype Timeline

Nabors Energy Transition is now traded for 11.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nabors is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nabors Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.49. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Nabors Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nabors Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nabors Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Nabors Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nabors Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Nabors Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nabors Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nabors Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nabors Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nabors Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nabors Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nabors Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nabors Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nabors Energy Transition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Nabors Energy

The number of cover stories for Nabors Energy depends on current market conditions and Nabors Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nabors Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nabors Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Nabors Energy Short Properties

Nabors Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nabors Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nabors Energy Transition often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nabors Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nabors Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 M
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Other Consideration for investing in Nabors Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Nabors Energy Transition check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Nabors Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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