Nisun International Stock Forward View

NISN Stock  USD 0.96  0.03  3.03%   
Nisun Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Nisun International's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Nisun International's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Nisun International fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Nisun International's share price is below 30 as of today. This indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nisun International Enterprise, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 22

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nisun International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nisun International Enterprise, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nisun International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.53)
Using Nisun International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nisun International Enterprise from the perspective of Nisun International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nisun International Enterprise on the next trading day is expected to be 0.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.32.

Nisun International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nisun International to cross-verify your projections.

Nisun International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nisun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nisun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nisun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Nisun International Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Nisun International's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2013-09-30
Previous Quarter
45 M
Current Value
10.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
39.1 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Nisun International is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nisun International Enterprise value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nisun International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nisun International Enterprise on the next trading day is expected to be 0.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nisun Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nisun International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nisun International Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nisun International  Nisun International Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Nisun International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nisun International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nisun International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.87, respectively. We have considered Nisun International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.96
0.54
Expected Value
7.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nisun International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nisun International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.5001
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.202
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.107
SAESum of the absolute errors12.3209
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nisun International Enterprise. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nisun International. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nisun International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nisun International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nisun International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.318.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.958.28
Details

Nisun International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nisun International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nisun International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nisun International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nisun International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nisun International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nisun International's historical news coverage. Nisun International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 8.64, respectively. We have considered Nisun International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.96
1.31
After-hype Price
8.64
Upside
Nisun International is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nisun International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nisun International Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nisun International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nisun International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nisun International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.87 
7.33
  0.32 
  0.32 
7 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.96
1.31
32.32 
4,312  
Notes

Nisun International Hype Timeline

Nisun International is now traded for 0.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.32. Nisun is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.31 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 32.32%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.87%. The volatility of related hype on Nisun International is about 4311.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.28. Nisun International Enterprise currently holds 7.99 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.06, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Nisun International has a current ratio of 2.52, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Nisun International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nisun International to cross-verify your projections.

Nisun International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nisun International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nisun International's future price movements. Getting to know how Nisun International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nisun International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LMFALM Funding America(0.07)6 per month 0.00 (0.20) 11.11 (10.17) 34.58 
ABTSAbits Group(0.03)7 per month 0.00 (0.17) 10.52 (9.92) 25.72 
PRHIPresurance Holdings(0.04)3 per month 0.00 (0.17) 11.11 (8.97) 34.28 
COHNCohen Company 1.70 8 per month 7.42  0.16  13.51 (11.12) 51.44 
ATONAlphaTON Capital Corp 0.01 11 per month 0.00 (0.23) 22.67 (16.67) 72.09 
CNFCNFinance Holdings(0.04)8 per month 4.65  0.09  9.70 (9.12) 26.22 
LOKVLive Oak Acquisition 0.00 9 per month 0.16 (0.20) 0.29 (0.39) 1.26 
APACUStonebridge Acquisition Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IPCXInflection Point Acquisition 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.24) 0.49 (0.39) 1.08 

Other Forecasting Options for Nisun International

For every potential investor in Nisun, whether a beginner or expert, Nisun International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nisun Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nisun. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nisun International's price trends.

Nisun International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nisun International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nisun International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nisun International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nisun International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nisun International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nisun International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nisun International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nisun International Enterprise entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nisun International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nisun International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nisun International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nisun stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Nisun International

The number of cover stories for Nisun International depends on current market conditions and Nisun International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nisun International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nisun International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Nisun International Short Properties

Nisun International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nisun International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nisun International Enterprise often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nisun International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nisun International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments51.9 M
When determining whether Nisun International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Nisun International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nisun International Enterprise Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nisun International Enterprise Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nisun International to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could Nisun diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nisun International. Anticipated expansion of Nisun directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Nisun International data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
Earnings Share
(16.76)
Revenue Per Share
54.725
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.53)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Investors evaluate Nisun International using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Nisun International's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Nisun International's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Nisun International's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nisun International should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Nisun International's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.