Nikola Corp Stock Forward View

Nikola Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nikola price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nikola using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nikola charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Nikola Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nikola Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nikola Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nikola Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.38.

Nikola Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nikola Corp Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nikola Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nikola Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nikola Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nikola Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nikola Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nikola Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.06 0.06 0.07 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.06 0.06 0.07 Details

Nikola Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Nikola Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Nikola Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Nikola Corp Hype Timeline

Nikola Corp is now traded for 0.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nikola is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.76%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Nikola Corp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.03. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nikola Corp recorded a loss per share of 12.34. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:30 split on the 25th of June 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Nikola Corp Related Hype Analysis

Nikola Corp Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Nikola Corp Market Strength Events

Nikola Corp Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Nikola Corp

Nikola Corp Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in Nikola Stock