Nova Vision Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

NOVVUDelisted Stock  USD 41.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nova Vision Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 41.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.84. Nova Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Nova Vision - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Nova Vision prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Nova Vision price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Nova Vision Acquisition.

Nova Vision Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nova Vision Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 41.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 13.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nova Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nova Vision's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nova Vision Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nova Vision Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nova Vision's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nova Vision's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.90 and 68.10, respectively. We have considered Nova Vision's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
41.00
41.00
Expected Value
68.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nova Vision stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nova Vision stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4773
MADMean absolute deviation0.5227
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0157
SAESum of the absolute errors30.84
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Nova Vision observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Nova Vision Acquisition observations.

Predictive Modules for Nova Vision

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nova Vision Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nova Vision's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.9041.0068.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.4828.5855.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
41.0041.0041.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nova Vision

For every potential investor in Nova, whether a beginner or expert, Nova Vision's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nova Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nova. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nova Vision's price trends.

Nova Vision Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nova Vision stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nova Vision could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nova Vision by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nova Vision Acquisition Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nova Vision's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nova Vision's current price.

Nova Vision Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nova Vision stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nova Vision shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nova Vision stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nova Vision Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nova Vision Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nova Vision's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nova Vision's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nova stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nova Vision to cross-verify your projections.
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Other Consideration for investing in Nova Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Nova Vision Acquisition check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Nova Vision's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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