Naspers Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

NPSNYDelisted Stock  USD 36.12  0.33  0.91%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Naspers Ltd ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 37.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.47. Naspers Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Naspers polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Naspers Ltd ADR as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Naspers Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Naspers Ltd ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 37.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93, mean absolute percentage error of 1.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Naspers Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Naspers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Naspers Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest NaspersNaspers Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Naspers pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Naspers pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.3667
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9257
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0272
SAESum of the absolute errors56.4653
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Naspers historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Naspers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Naspers Ltd ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.1236.1236.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.7929.7939.73
Details

View Naspers Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Naspers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Naspers pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Naspers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Naspers pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Naspers Ltd ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Naspers Risk Indicators

The analysis of Naspers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Naspers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting naspers pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

Other Consideration for investing in Naspers Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Naspers Ltd ADR check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Naspers' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.