NSAV Holding Pink Sheet Forward View

NSAV Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of NSAV Holding's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of NSAV Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of NSAV Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from NSAV Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NSAV Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using NSAV Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NSAV Holding from the perspective of NSAV Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NSAV Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000022 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000954 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0006.

NSAV Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NSAV Holding to cross-verify your projections.

NSAV Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine NSAV price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NSAV using various technical indicators. When you analyze NSAV charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for NSAV Holding is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of NSAV Holding value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

NSAV Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NSAV Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000022 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000954, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0006.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NSAV Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NSAV Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NSAV Holding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest NSAV Holding  NSAV Holding Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

NSAV Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NSAV Holding's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NSAV Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 12.91, respectively. We have considered NSAV Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.000022
Expected Value
12.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NSAV Holding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NSAV Holding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria95.8002
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors6.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of NSAV Holding. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict NSAV Holding. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for NSAV Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NSAV Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0012.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0012.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.0000420.0000420.000042
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NSAV Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NSAV Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NSAV Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NSAV Holding.

NSAV Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of NSAV Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NSAV Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of NSAV Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

NSAV Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting NSAV Holding's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NSAV Holding's historical news coverage. NSAV Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 12.91, respectively. We have considered NSAV Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.00
0.00
After-hype Price
12.91
Upside
NSAV Holding is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NSAV Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

NSAV Holding Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NSAV Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NSAV Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NSAV Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.67 
12.91
 0.00  
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.00
0.00
0.00 
12,910,000  
Notes

NSAV Holding Hype Timeline

NSAV Holding is now traded for 0.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. NSAV is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.67%. %. The volatility of related hype on NSAV Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. NSAV Holding had 1:1 split on the 30th of May 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NSAV Holding to cross-verify your projections.

NSAV Holding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to NSAV Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NSAV Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how NSAV Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NSAV Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HYBOFHyperBlock 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ICOAICOA Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CBYICal Bay Intl 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CNXSConnexus Corp 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PIHGPlural Industry Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.14  3.85  0.00  258.16 
SLJBSulja Bros Building 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PTSHPTS Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TLIFTOCCA Life Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 25.00 (20.00) 45.24 
CLOWCloudweb 0.00 0 per month 3.97  0.04  5.88 (10.00) 63.68 
BCIIBlockchain Industries 0.00 0 per month 8.72 (0) 15.38 (17.65) 49.52 

Other Forecasting Options for NSAV Holding

For every potential investor in NSAV, whether a beginner or expert, NSAV Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NSAV Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NSAV. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NSAV Holding's price trends.

NSAV Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NSAV Holding pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NSAV Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NSAV Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Story Coverage note for NSAV Holding

The number of cover stories for NSAV Holding depends on current market conditions and NSAV Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NSAV Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NSAV Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for NSAV Pink Sheet Analysis

When running NSAV Holding's price analysis, check to measure NSAV Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NSAV Holding is operating at the current time. Most of NSAV Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NSAV Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NSAV Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NSAV Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.